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Doug Casey.

Perspectives on speculation, economics and political change.

8 quotesOriginal publication dates · Sources checked daily
Markets

Doug Casey on How Artificial Intelligence Will Radically Transform the World

AI is going to be huge. No, strike that gross understatement—it’s already huge. It will change everything. There’s no question the abilities of technology are increasing exponentially, at the rate of Moore’s Law. In other words, computing power is still doubling roughly every 18 to 24 months while the cost halves. This is also true in the areas of biotech, nanotech, robotics, 3D printing, and genetic engineering. These technologies are going to fundamentally transform the very nature of life itself. AI will accelerate their progress by an order of magnitude.
Doug CaseyDoug Casey · International Man ·
Interview answer
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What is your take on AI advancements, and how do you see it evolving in the future?

Markets

Doug Casey on Wall Street’s New 3X Commodity Funds—and When Leverage Makes Sense

Leverage is great—when you guess right. But predicting price is hard enough for full-time pros who are involved in all the details 24/7. That’s true of all financial products, but commodities in particular. For the retail public, predicting the price of a commodity is usually a sucker’s bet.
Doug CaseyDoug Casey · International Man ·
Interview answer
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International Man: The SEC just approved a new generation of funds that offer three times the daily performance of commodities like gold, silver, and oil. Wall Street is making it easier than ever for ordinary investors to take leveraged bets on volatile markets. What do you make of these products?

Markets

Doug Casey on the Impact of War on Commodity Markets

The big question is whether or not WW3 will go nuclear. And if it does, will it be just some relatively small-yield tactical bombs used against military formations? Or will it get out of control, with strategic weapons used against cities? Either is possible.
Doug CaseyDoug Casey · International Man ·
Interview answer
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Considering similar historical periods, what have been the most important investment implications of global conflict between the world’s biggest powers?

Markets

Doug Casey on What Could Shock the Markets Before Election Day

We discussed oil and diesel last month (link). The fundamentals remain the same. The wars in the Ukraine and with Iran are not going to end anytime soon. There will be a lot more damage done to production and the ability to transport energy, but especially to refining facilities. Diesel, heating oil, jet fuel, kerosene, and gasoline are all going higher.
Doug CaseyDoug Casey · International Man ·
Interview answer
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International Man: The war with Iran has already disrupted global energy markets, pushing up oil and creating serious pressure in diesel markets. What’s next?

Markets

Speculation versus investment

A speculator is someone who capitalizes on distortions in the market.
Doug CaseyInternational Man ·
Archive · sourced excerpt
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Answering a question about the definition of speculation, Casey distinguishes exploiting distortions from allocating capital to create new value.

Markets

Opportunity when others are afraid

Speculating in crisis markets is the ultimate way to be a contrarian, which means buying when nobody else wants to buy.
Doug CaseyInternational Man — Nick Giambruno interview ·
Archive · sourced excerpt
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Interviewed by Nick Giambruno, Casey explains his approach to distressed markets using past investments as examples. December 4, 2024 is the source page’s publication date; the page does not specify when the conversation was recorded.

Markets

Looking for relative value

I still like commodities — commodities relative to everything else are cheap.
Doug CaseyInvesting News Network ·
Archive · sourced excerpt
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In an interview with Charlotte McLeod, Casey contrasts his preference for resources with his concerns about stocks and bonds. This valuation judgment dates to November 2024.

Markets

Preserving capital in difficult times

Just try to keep what you have in the years to come. Keeping what you have will make you relatively rich.
Doug CaseyInternational Man ·
Archive · sourced excerpt
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Casey closes his early-2024 outlook by prioritizing preservation of wealth. The statement reflects his pessimistic economic outlook at that date.

The archive preserves what people said at the time. Older views and forecasts are not presented as current statements. Context provides supporting details; Read opens the source.